the National Rally on the rise and far ahead, according to a survey

A boulevard for the extreme right? The National Rally would come first with 28% of voting intentions in the 2024 European elections, according to an Ipsos and Sopra Steria survey in partnership with the Sciences Po Political Research Center (Cevipof) and The world, published Saturday December 16. A figure up four points compared to June.

In second place, the Renaissance list displays 20% voting intention according to the same survey. In third position, the list led by Raphaël Glucksmann (Place publique), on the verge of obtaining the approval of the Socialist Party, brings together 10.5% of voting intentions, ahead of that of the Ecologists (9.5%) and La Insoumise France (7.5%). Finally, Les Républicains have a score of 8%, according to this opinion survey.

The survey was carried out on a sample of 11,691 people. Voting intentions are calculated among the share of respondents certain to vote, i.e. between 41% and 45%. The margin of error ranges from 0.2 percentage points to 1.1 percentage points.