the Macronists send the left and the extreme right back to back, at the risk of burying the “republican front” reflex

The left’s program is currently at the heart of the majority’s criticism. Statements, not without consequences in view of the second round of legislative elections. How, with this strategy, can we convince, on June 7, the voters of the New Popular Front to come for Macronist candidates in the event of a duel against the RN?

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French President Emmanuel Macron before a bilateral meeting during the Chinese leader's state visit, in Paris, May 6, 2024. (LUDOVIC MARIN / AFP)

For several days, the majority has focused its arrows on the left to survive and allow its candidates to reach the second round of the legislative elections on July 7. Since the left came together to present a single candidate in each constituency, the nightmare of the Macronists is to disappear on the evening of the first round (June 30). A face to face was set up between the National Rally on one side and the New Popular Front on the other.

The left claims the role of the best barrier against the coming to power of the extreme right. Jordan Bardella brandishes the scarecrow Jean-Luc Mélenchon to pose as the best barrier to the rebellious threat. To break this duel, Emmanuel Macron set the tone, without being nuanced, by denouncing the program “immigrationist” of the left or its promise of power “change sex in town hall”. In politics, this kind of argument is called “big red that stains”… Gabriel Attal, Bruno Le Maire, or Édouard Philippe, use the same tricks in a slightly more subtle way, pointing out the risks “extremes” whose wasteful economic programs would ruin France, “two mortal dangers for society”, dares François Bayrou. Editorial.

By putting the RN and the New Popular Front back to back, the majority takes the risk of burying the “republican front” reflex against the RN. How to convince left-wing voters to come and vote in the second round for Macronist candidates after having so charged the New Popular Front in the first. But this express campaign, carried out urgently, hardly tolerates nuance. It causes violent steering wheel strikes. The Macronists will certainly change their tune towards the left in nine days, on the evening of June 30. In the meantime, their disappearance on the evening of the first round would suit the National Rally.

Opinion studies show that the candidates from the Macronist central bloc, so weak in the first round, are best placed to beat the far right if they qualify for the second. Conversely, well placed to get through the first round in most constituencies, the left-wing candidates, and even more so the Insoumis, are the easiest to beat by the RN in the second. The double trap of tripartition and two-round majority voting is closing in on the majority, to the great joy of Jordan Bardella.


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