[SONDAGE] Liberal bickering: solidarity and PQ take advantage

As soon as Dominique Anglade left, the rumor machine about his succession went into overdrive. Meanwhile, solidarity and PQ take advantage of the liberal bickering by grabbing the points lost by François Legault and Éric Duhaime, reveals a survey.

• Read also: Six candidates to replace Dominique Anglade as leader of the PLQ

• Read also: Resignation from Anglade: “the right decision”, according to former elected officials

A month after having elected an overwhelming majority of 90 deputies, the Coalition Avenir Québec is losing its feathers, according to a Léger survey –The newspaper–VAT–QUB.

If elections had taken place before Dominique Anglade confirmed his departure on Monday, François Legault’s party would have won 36% of the votes, five points less than the result obtained on October 3.

In the last hours of the Anglade reign, the Quebec Liberal Party, which succeeded in forming the official opposition despite the worst result in its history, was treading water, with 14% of the voting intentions, only three points ahead of the Parti Éric Duhaime’s Quebec Conservative (11%), who also lost two points.

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Gains for QS and the PQ

On the other hand, after five weeks of washing dirty laundry in the public square in the Liberal ranks, Québec solidaire (19%) and the Parti Québécois (18%) follow behind the CAQ, obtaining respectively 4 and 3 points more than the last general elections.

In disarray, the PLQ under Dominique Anglade collected only 5% of voting intentions among Francophones, in addition to ranking fourth behind the CAQ, QS and the PQ.

Who will succeed him?

Barely one in five Quebecers wanted Dominique Anglade to remain leader of the PLQ. “Popular support was no longer there,” summed up pollster Jean-Marc Léger.

Among Liberal supporters, this support climbed to 55%, but a quarter of them no longer hesitated to demand his departure.

As soon as his resignation was announced, the rumor machine started up again. According to the same survey, among a dozen potential successors, only the former mayor of Montreal, Denis Coderre, seems to stand out.

Nearly one in five Liberal supporters (17%) believe that Mr. Coderre would be best placed to replace Mr.^me Anglade at the head of the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ).

“It is more linked to the notoriety of the character”, analyzed Mr. Léger, on LCN.

“The field is clear”

All in all, no one is clearly featured. “The field is clear, it’s really an open race,” illustrated Mr. Léger. Two-thirds of respondents refused to comment on the choices offered.

The level of interest of the liberal respondents towards 10 other personalities proposed in the answer choices is far lower than that enjoyed by Mr. Coderre.

Still among Liberal sympathizers, former Liberal ministers Gaétan Barrette and Pierre Moreau each obtained 4% support, as did the CEO of Hydro-Québec, Sophie Brochu, while Liberal MP Marwah Rizqy, who has just given birth , gets 3%.

The latter have both ruled out the possibility of running for the leadership of the Liberal Party. At least that’s what Mr.^me Brochu at Radio-Canada and M^me Rizqy to our Parliamentary Office, since the announcement of the departure of M^me England.

Recently became a political analyst at The JoustingGaétan Barrette also closed the door: “Let it be very official: the answer is no. […] I will not make that leap, ”he assured.

0% for Fortin and Lightbound

At the time the poll was conducted, no one (0%) among the Liberals seemed to see André Fortin or Joël Lightbound as a future leader of the PLQ.

The former interim leader Pierre Arcand, who did not run on October 3, harvests 2%, while Marc Tanguay, Alexandre Cusson and François-Philippe Champagne obtain a meager 1% of support.

With such low percentages, we are in “the margin of error”, notes Mr. Léger.

METHODOLOGY : Survey conducted among 1,028 Quebec voters randomly recruited using LEO’s online panel. The data was collected from November 4 to 6, 2022. It is not possible to calculate a margin of error on a sample drawn from a panel, but for comparison, the maximum margin of error for a sample of 1 028 respondents is ± 3.1%, and this 19 times out of 20.