The inflation rate varies according to economic conditions and is not stable over time. […] The key rate is expected to fall in the near future, a movement that is already underway. While the increase in salary conditions, based on recent inflation rates, is sustainable over time. The rate of inflation applicable to wages during union negotiations must therefore be based on a calculation of the average or smoothed value of the past rate of inflation for the period applicable to the collective agreement, to which will be added an estimate of the foreseeable trajectory of the inflation rate for the coming period. This is why the demand for an increase of 4.5% per year proposed by the public service unions does not appear balanced if it is based on the recent rate of inflation. Such wage gains should be justified by other factors related to working conditions: atypical schedules, arduous tasks, retention of qualified personnel, competitiveness with the private sector, etc.
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