‘Russia is in trouble’ after Wagner Group threatens to withdraw from Bakhmout, expert says

Yevgeny Prigojine, head of the Russian paramilitary group Wagner, has threatened to withdraw his fighters from the city in eastern Ukraine from May 10, because of a lack of ammunition he blames on the Russian army. .

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A screenshot of the video posted on May 5, 2023 on Telegram of the boss of the paramilitary group Wagner Yevgeny Prigojine.  (TELEGRAM SCREEN CAPTURE)

“Russia is in trouble” after the threat of the Wagner group to withdraw from Bakhmout, estimates Lukas Aubin, director of research at the Institute of international and strategic relations (Iris), specialist in the geopolitics of Russia, on franceinfo Friday May 5. The head of the paramilitary group, Yevgeny Prigojine, announced on Friday that he intended to withdraw his men from the city in eastern Ukraine due to a lack of sufficient ammunition.

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“The risk for the Russian army is to no longer have the support of this paramilitary group”, explains Lukas Aubin. The withdrawal of the Wagner troops “would abduct tens of thousands of men currently on the ground”, he continues. For this specialist, the Wagner group has “about 40,000 men”.

Bakhmout “one of the key points for Russia’s offensive”

The threat from Yevgeny Prigozhin and the alleged drone attack on the Kremlin “show that there are difficulties at the top of the state in Russia, that there are difficulties in mastering this special military operation”, analyzes Lukas Aubin. At this stage of the war as Ukraine prepares its counter-offensive, “Bakhmut is one of the key hotspots for Russia’s current offensive”explains Lukas Aubin.

Russia is preparing to celebrate Victory Day, which commemorates May 9, 1945, the surrender of Nazi Germany.


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