“Israel has the means to control an escalation, which Iran does not have,” underlines Bertrand Badie, Middle East specialist.

Bertrand Badie, specialist in international relations, believes that the Iranian attack could provide Israel with a pretext for a larger counterattack.

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Bertrand Badie, specialist in international relations and professor emeritus of universities at Sciences Po Paris, guest on 8:30 a.m. franceinfo, April 14, 2024. (FRANCEINFO / RADIO FRANCE)

Bertrand Badie, specialist in international relations, professor emeritus at Sciences Po Paris, was the guest of “8h30 franceinfo”, Sunday April 14. He answered questions from Jules de Kiss and Hadrien Bect.

“The problem is knowing how far Iran and Israel intend to go”

For Bertrand Badie, “the game today is not to calm Iran, the game would rather consist of preventing Israel from following through on its strategic intentions”. If Iran becomes involved in a regional war, it will only benefit from negative effects. On the Israeli side, it is different: we have known for a long time that they are looking for an opportunity to put an end to the Iranian nuclear program. The big question we must ask ourselves: “Is this the expected pretext to launch a larger attack? ? “

Iran more or less said the matter was settled while Israel, on the contrary, declared: “We will be able to respond to an attack on our soil.” “Israel has the means to control an escalation, which Iran does not have”explains Bertrand Badie.

“The diplomatic nightmare of the United States continues”

The image of the United States is also damaged by this new sequence, according to Bertrand Badie: “It is the diplomatic nightmare of the United States that continues !” Show support again “unshakeable” to Israel “weakens what the United States has said and continues to say about Gaza.”

Even if the country wants to try to reason with Israel, Bertrand Badie is not fooled, the balance of power has changed since the Cold War: “Today, the United States no longer has any control and Israel likes to show it, this is not implicit dissidence, it is the most explicit dissidence possible !”

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