Intense protests have erupted in Georgia following the government’s suspension of EU rapprochement until 2028, igniting clashes in Tbilisi. Demonstrators, lacking clear leadership, demand new elections and a return to European integration. While police employed restraint, violence ensued, echoing past uprisings. The ruling party, Georgian Dream, defends its stance against perceived foreign interference, yet faces dissent within government ranks and concerns from international allies. The political crisis raises fears of a Belarus-like scenario for Georgia.
Escalating Protests in Georgia: Citizens vs. Government
In Georgia, the tension between the government and a large number of frustrated citizens has erupted into intense street battles. Following Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze’s announcement on Thursday regarding the suspension of the country’s European Union rapprochement process until the end of 2028, downtown Tbilisi has witnessed nightly dramatic confrontations.
The protest movement gained momentum over the weekend, culminating in the largest demonstration yet on Saturday night, which extended into the early hours of Sunday. Protesters, fueled by their determination, advanced towards the university district, blocking a major intersection and showcasing their resolve.
Violence and Political Turmoil
Once again, the streets were filled with chaos as security forces deployed water cannons, tear gas, and smoke grenades against the demonstrators. In retaliation, protesters ignited fireworks that even led to a fire at the parliament building and constructed burning barricades in various locations. Unlike previous nights, police exhibited a somewhat restrained approach this time, although over a hundred demonstrators were still harshly detained, filling detention centers to capacity. The scenes echoed the violent suppression witnessed during the protests in Belarus in late 2020, igniting further outrage among government opponents.
Reports from Tbilisi indicate that the demonstrators are acting without clear leadership from major opposition parties, yet they persist in demanding new elections under international oversight and a government that genuinely aims to steer Georgia back towards European integration. The ruling government, however, firmly rejects these demands.
Despite the longstanding calls for change since the controversial parliamentary elections in October, the recent decision to halt dialogue with the EU has seemingly dashed any remaining hopes for European integration under the current regime. While the ambition for EU integration is constitutionally recognized, the government appears reluctant to jeopardize its relations with Russia. Nevertheless, the majority of Georgians remain staunchly opposed to closer ties with Moscow.
At the political forefront, President Salome Zurabishvili has declared her intention to remain in office until a legitimate parliament elects her successor, as her term is set to expire soon. Georgian Dream plans to conduct a presidential election on December 14, but the election will be determined by an electoral body rather than a popular vote, raising concerns about its legitimacy.
Prime Minister Kobakhidze defended the government’s actions, attributing the unrest to external influences and aligning himself with the narrative that portrays the government as a defender of national sovereignty against foreign meddling. This perspective has been increasingly promoted by Georgian Dream over the past two years, painting a picture of Western conspiracy aimed at destabilizing Georgia.
However, the government’s recent decisions have sparked dissent not only among the populace but also within the bureaucratic and business sectors. Numerous diplomats, ministry officials, and even ambassadors have resigned in protest against the government’s stance, indicating that dissatisfaction is resonating within the ranks of the state apparatus. Major banks and telecommunications companies have also voiced their concerns, emphasizing their commitment to European alignment.
The United States has recently suspended its “strategic partnership” with Georgia, while the EU has expressed serious apprehensions about the situation and plans to evaluate its future relations with the country in mid-December. As Georgia grapples with its political crisis, many wonder if it is sliding towards a scenario reminiscent of Belarus, where the regime has faced severe isolation and repression. A mere month ago, such a possibility seemed far-fetched, but the current trajectory could compel Georgian Dream to seek support from Russia, disappointing many in Europe.