can undecided voters still change the balance of power?

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Mathieu Gallard, research director at Ipsos, analyzes the situation of the various candidates in the polls and the weight of abstention and indecision. Some voters may switch at the very last moment.

Asked about a possible comeback from Valérie Pécresse in the last week, Mathieu Gallard, research director at Ipsos, felt that it seemed “difficult. She is very far from the qualification bar for the second round now. The best it can hope for is to be above the 10% mark and ahead of Éric Zemmour (…). Anyway, it’s going to be difficult, because we don’t really see what type of issues she could position herself on and which, really, would allow her to boost momentum in this last week of the campaign.“.

The last week of the campaign can cause a part of the potentially undecided, even abstaining electorate to mobilize, but that has to be measured very finely.“, he continued, specifying that “many make their decision at the last moment. It’s true that it’s something that we can’t take into account, because the last polls stop on Friday evening“.


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