A failure: Elisabeth Borne did not manage to set up a real government coalition, as exists in the majority of European countries. So it’s back to square one. As on the evening of the second round of the legislative elections. The consultations of Emmanuel Macron and Elisabeth Borne will have been useless: lOpposition groups explain that their proposals have never been taken into account. And they point out that discussing a coalition in a few days is nonsense.
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At the highest level of the executive, it is retorted that if a parliamentary group had accepted the principle of a coalition, then, yes, we could have done as in Germany and discussed for months. In short, what must be remembered at the end of this dialogue of the deaf is that the Prime Minister will have no choice but to find a majority on a case-by-case basis, on each bill.
This strategy can work, no doubt. At least for a while. Besides, Elisabeth Borne is determined to govern differently and ne no longer consider Parliament to be stewardship. Deputies and senators will no longer have to discover bills leaving the Council of Ministers.They must be able to discuss this with the government beforehand. They will need to be able to evaluate and quantify the texts that arrive at the Assembly. Then be able to debate without repeated emergency procedure.
To avoid the parliamentary traffic jam, there will also be fewer bills and more collected bills, far from obese texts, catch-all bills of hundreds of articles. VSThese are the best practices that Elisabeth Borne has in mind: eShe wants to try to establish – gradually – trust with parliamentarians, text after text, compromise after compromise.
The Specter of Dissolution
Still, if the objective is to avoid the famous institutional deadlock, there is theory and political reality. But all political leaders are aware that we are entering a completely new political sequence. While the French economy is faltering, there is a war in Europe, the alarm is ringing worldwide on the climate, everyone is holding on to their goatee.
The first political force that will behave irresponsibly, in any case judged as such by the French, by trying, for example, to push through a reform or, conversely, by provoking parliamentary obstruction, could pay cash. The French do not want the country to be paralyzed. And even if the quinquennium has barely begun, the possibility of dissolution is already in everyone’s mind.