with Jordan Bardella at more than 30%, who will be able to beat Marine Le Pen in 2027?

Two days before the June 9 election, the latest Ipsos poll for franceinfo gives the RN list at 32%. The other camps are already preparing to face the prospect of the next presidential election.

If the results of each list on the evening of Sunday June 9 remain uncertain, all the parties have understood that the National Rally will arrive very far ahead of the others. In the latest Ipsos survey for franceinfo, published Thursday June 6, Jordan Bardella’s list is given at 32%.

A government heavyweight warns: “We must not underestimate the violence of the result, it will be an earthquake”when a socialist leader is fatalistic: “There will be two tragedies, the RN at 30% and the fact that it doesn’t put anyone on the street”. And even if the European elections never foreshadow the following presidential election, a very high RN will be something to take into account for all of Marine Le Pen’s adversaries, with a question that torments many political leaders: “Who will be able to beat her ?”

The upcoming result also worries the presidential majority. The fear is that the result will cause discord, that everyone will try to play their card, notably Édouard Philippe, who is aiming for 2027. Among the potential successors of Emmanuel Macron, there are two opposing strategies: standing together as long as possible. possible or on the contrary try to break up. A minister is clear in any case: “With an RN this high, we will have to bring everyone together for 2027, from the social democratic left to the LR right, otherwise no chance of winning”. But on one condition, summarizes an advisor: “The Macronist list must not end too low on Sunday, so that the alternative to the RN remains in the central space.”

Otherwise, it will open up space for others. This is what an LR tenor is already theorizing: “There is no longer a Macronist who will be able to beat Le Pen”. Laurent Wauquiez is convinced that from the moment Emmanuel Macron is no longer in the equation, the game will reopen for the right, and incidentally for him. But Xavier Bertrand also says he has a card to play, having already beaten Marine Le Pen in the regional elections in Hauts-de-France.

On the left, many hope that the RN’s score will cause a “electroshock”because it will be “a quarter to midnight before Le Pen at the Élysée”, alerts a socialist. “We will have to come together”, This is the popular slogan in the PS, among environmentalists and certain rebels. An MP warns: “two left-wing candidates in 2027 means zero in the second round”. But the consummate rupture between the Melenchonist left and the non-Melenchonist left remains in the way of the project, neither seeming today willing to step aside for the other.