Will the Republican Front hold?

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A few days before the second round of the legislative elections, come and ask your questions and chat with the experts of the franceinfo Talk! Ludovic Pauchant welcomes the political scientist Dorian Dreuil, the sociologist and writer Rémy Oudghiri and Aurore Malval, editor-in-chief of Marianne.

The first round of legislative elections, following the dissolution of the National Assembly by Emmanuel Macron, mobilized voters. On Sunday, June 30, the final participation amounted to 66.71%with 32,911,132 voters. It is necessary go back to 1997 to find such a high participation, with 67.9% of those registered.

THE National Rally and its allies came out on top by a wide margin of this first round, with 33.15% of the votes. 39 RN candidates were elected deputies in the first round. In second place, the New Popular Front obtained 27.99% of the votes. The presidential majority only came in third place, with 20.05% of the votes.

Record of triangulars and duels against the RN

The recomposition of the political landscape is therefore taking shape around three blocs: the RN and its allies, the NFP and Ensemble. The particularity of this period between the two rounds is that in 244 constituenciesthe candidates from the three camps achieved a score allowing them to qualify for the second round: the latter therefore find themselves in a three-way tie.

The deadline for submitting applications for the second round was set for Tuesday, July 2 at 6 p.m. Finally, 211 qualified candidates for the second round in a three-way or four-way race, have finally chosen to withdraw. A withdrawal to block the National Rally and its allies, who came out on top by a wide margin.

By limiting the number of three-way and four-way races, the stated objective is to prevent the National Rally from obtaining an absolute majority of 289 deputies. Overall, the instructions to withdraw candidates have been applied: there are only eight three-way races left in which the RN is in the lead and where no withdrawals have taken place. However, the question now arises as to what the next 7th of July will do in the voting booth: if left-wing voters are more likely to block the vote, the question will arise more for those who came from the former presidential majority.


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