Why the drop in greenhouse gas emissions has direct consequences on employment

Elisabeth Borne wants to significantly reduce France’s CO2 emissions by 2030. But what consequences for employment will this have? Some sectors will be winners, others losers.

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Sky above Saint-Ouen-l'Aumône (Val-d'oise).  Illustrative photo.  (BRUNO LEVESQUE / MAXPPP)

There Directorate for the coordination of research, studies and statistics (Dares) for France Strategy says there will be a “rrelatively large reallocation of labor between sectors” with the drop in greenhouse gases. Suffice to say that in some sectors, jobs will be lost, and in others, jobs will be created. Tensions on recruitment which already exist in certain sectors will increase if we want to meet the objective of reducing CO2 to 270 million tonnes in 2030 against 408 million tonnes in 2022.

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The building will be the big winner of this ecological transition. Between 100,000 and 200,000 jobs will be created there will be the different scenarios by 2030. Problem, some of these trades are already experiencing severe recruitment shortages. These include, for example, study and research staff, technicians, supervisors and building and public works executives. Problem: there is a lack of attractiveness for some of these building trades due to salaries that are too low, in particular for unskilled structural work workers. Other professions will have to gain: metal workers, computer engineers, executives in administrative services, woodworkers, etc.

50,000 jobs created?

The ecological transition could also create 50,000 additional jobs in research and development and in engineering. Ditto in the maintenance of equipment. On the automotive side, the results are more mixed. According to the European Climate Foundation, the sector could gain from this provided that the share of clean vehicles represents more than a third of the market. But other scenarios foresee the destruction of jobs in this same sector. Another losing sector is transport, with nearly 10,000 jobs lost by 2030.

The report insists on the need to facilitate retraining and Dares considers that the systems in place are not enough. Like the Collective Transitions system, which allows you to move from a sector in bad shape to another that is recruiting. A device that is struggling to find its audience.


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