“We should not imagine a gigantic offensive in the coming hours,” says a geopolitical scientist

Frédéric Encel, geopolitologist and professor at Sciences po Paris was the guest of “8h30 franceinfo”, Friday October 27, 2023. War between Israel and Hamas, land offensive which is preparing… He answered questions from Jules de Kiss and Agathe Lambret.

Israel’s Gaza ground offensive in preparation

“We must not imagine that in the coming hours 330,000 soldiers will return as part of a gigantic offensive“, says Frédéric Encel, doctor in geopolitics and guest on 8h30 franceinfo this Friday, while Israel has just announced a new ground incursion by its troops into the Gaza Strip.

According to the lecturer at Sciences Po Paris, “They will take all their time to obtain an agenda which, militarily, tactically, strategically, will allow them to put an end to the militarization of Hamas“For him, the reason why the massive offensive promised by Israel following the Hamas terrorist attacks of October 7 is delayed is also due to “fears about military technical unpreparedness“of an army which has never had so many reservists”since 1982“.”Benjamin Netanyahu is not comfortable with war“, he adds.

“Hezbollah will not get involved beyond the symbolic” affirms Frédéric Encel, regarding a possible regional flare-up of the conflict

Frédéric Encel does not believe in the involvement on the ground of neighboring countries such as Lebanon or Iran. “Hezbollah will not get involved beyond the symbolic“, he says. During the “three wars between Israel and Hamas, Hezbollah did nothing” apart “vociferate” And “fend off a few rockets“because the organization’s agenda is”intra-Lebanese and Syrian“.”Tens of thousands of highly seasoned Hezbollah fighters have been used in recent years“rather for”defend Bashar Al Assad“that for”free Jerusalem“.

There is no interest in Hezbollah “go to the aid of Hamas which will perhaps disappear on a military level in favor of a massive destruction of their infrastructures“, nor for Iran which could be hit with retaliation on the “oil and nuclear installations“, he says.

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Find the entire “8:30 a.m. franceinfo” from Friday October 27, 2023: