Vladimir Putin welcomes Emmanuel Macron’s troubles

The thunderclap of the dissolution decided on Sunday by Emmanuel Macron also has implications on the international scene. In Moscow, Vladimir Putin is rubbing his hands to see a close ally of Ukraine in difficulty.

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Emmanuel Macron and Vladimir Putin, during a meeting in Versailles, in May 2017. (STEPHANE DE SAKUTIN / AFP)

The misfortune of one person makes the happiness of others. Emmanuel Macron’s decision, Sunday June 9, to dissolve the National Assembly, after a large victory for the RN in the European elections also has repercussions on the international scene. Certainly, Emmanuel Macron is not the only one going through a zone of great internal turbulence. In Germany, Olaf Scholz is also faced with the challenge of the far right after the European elections and the AfD’s score, the British Rishi Sunak is already in the middle of the electoral campaign, not to mention Joe Biden who is not sure of be re-elected to the White House next November.

The tensions between Paris and Moscow have been increasing recently, Vladimir Putin and Emmanuel Macron, who are in direct opposition, have not spoken to each other for a long time. So, obviously, the troubles of the French head of state are blessings for the master of the Kremlin. The Russian press is also having a field day targeting Emmanuel Macron. She does not hesitate to speak of an illegitimate president, condemned to play the role of a lame duck, that is to say a weakened president, until the end of his mandate.

Whether we like it or not, the credibility of the French president is damaged internationally. First with its European allies who are wondering about political developments in France. However, in diplomacy, doubt is never good. Because the great uncertainty of the ballot boxes mechanically demonetizes the Elysian speech, muted during the electoral campaign, and this, at a time when Emmanuel Macron has just reached a milestone in the delivery of arms to Ukraine, in particular with the announcement of the supply of Mirage 2000-5.

For Ukrainian President Volodymir Zelensky, whose army is in difficulty, the weakening of the French posture would be bad news. Under the Fifth Republic, diplomacy and defense were considered two areas reserved for the president, but who must, at least formally, be accountable to the National Assembly. However, future cohabitation cannot be ruled out, and in this case, Emmanuel Macron would no longer have a completely free hand on the international scene. Vladimir Putin knows this very well, and could even take advantage of this uncertain and volatile political situation to intensify his war of informational destabilization against France, at the time of the Olympic Games.


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