US Central Bank | Two more hikes to come, says Powell

(Washington) The president of the American central bank (Fed), Jerome Powell, on Thursday raised the possibility of raising rates twice more by the end of the year, while a governor mentioned the need for to have “additional increases”, after a break.




“A strong majority (of Fed officials) believe it will again be appropriate, assuming the economy behaves as expected, (to raise rates) twice before the end of this year,” Mr. Powell before a Senate committee. He had already been questioned on Wednesday by elected members of the House of Representatives.

“We are determined to control inflation and a strong majority of the monetary committee believes that we are close, but we still need to raise rates a little,” he said.

Like the day before, however, he felt that these additional increases will have to be done at a slower pace than before.

A governor of the institution, Michelle Bowman, for her part judged “that additional rate hikes will be necessary to bring inflation back to our objective” of 2%.


PHOTO ANN SAPHIR, REUTERS

“I believe additional rate hikes will be needed to bring inflation back to our target” of 2%, Michelle Bowman told a conference hosted by the Fed’s Cleveland regional office.

At a conference organized by the Cleveland regional branch of the Fed, she said she “supported” the Fed’s decision on June 14 to leave rates in their range of 5.00-5.25%, pausing for the first time since March 2022, after 10 straight increases.

“While monetary policy tightening has had some effect on economic activity and inflation to date, we have seen core inflation (excluding food and energy) stagnate since the fall of 2022,” noted the governor.

Banking regulations

“I expect we will need to raise the rate further in order to achieve a tight enough monetary policy stance to bring inflation down significantly and sustainably,” she added.

Mme Bowman, however, did not specify how far she thinks it is necessary to raise the key rate.

The next Fed meeting will be July 25-26.

Mr. Powell also mentioned the evolution of banking regulation, which is accelerating after the crisis that has shaken the sector since the fall of Silicon Valley Bank in early March.

And in particular the capital requirements of banks, that is to say the liquidities which the bank must have at all times to face risks and unforeseen events, which could be increased.

“None of this should affect” the smallest banks, assured the chairman of the Fed.

The American banking landscape is made up, alongside the large establishments, of a multitude of small local or regional banks, the local banks.

“Basel III”, a wide range of international banking sector reforms, was launched after the financial crisis of 2008-2009 in order to strengthen the soundness of banks. Many steps have been taken, but some reforms still need to be finalized, especially in the United States.


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