Suddenly, Justin Trudeau wakes up: Donald Trump has a strong chance of winning the American presidential election. “It won’t be easy,” he says.
Indeed, barring a political cataclysm, Trump will win the Republican nomination. Indeed, the polls give Trump a slight advantage.
All it would take is a recession for Democrats to lose not only any chance of winning the presidency, but also the majority in both houses of Congress.
The respected bank UBS even warned a few weeks ago that a recession would hit the United States in 2024. Historically, in the United States, the parties in power have always lost elections when the economy was bad.
US allies must therefore prepare for Trump’s likely return. A surly, demented Trump determined to govern like a dictator.
- Listen to international politics expert Loïc Tassé on Benoit Dutrizac’s show via QUB :
Do not minimize this return
Some commentators are trying to minimize the feared catastrophe. This is because Trump recognizes the problem posed by illegal immigration; he understands the threat of Islamism; he measures the danger of the rise of Chinese power.
It’s true.
However, it is far from clear that Trump knows how to solve these problems. His solutions risk turning out to be worse than the evils he wants to solve. How can he justify the fight against Islamism and the rapprochement of his first administration with Saudi Arabia? How can he contain China, when under his administration the trade deficit with this country has continued to worsen?
The dismantling of the central state that Trump calls for and the establishment of an authoritarian state to replace democracy would ultimately deal a fatal blow to the American economy. They would annihilate what little moral authority the United States has left internationally.
Plans for Canada
What can Canada do in the circumstances?
Of course, Canada must cultivate its friendships in the United States more than ever, to temper the various isolationist trade measures that Trump is fondling.
- Listen to international politics expert Loïc Tassé on Benoit Dutrizac’s show via QUB :
It must strengthen its ties with other democracies on the planet, in particular with those that are economic powers, such as Japan, South Korea, France, the United Kingdom and Brazil.
It must also strengthen its economy and its armed forces.
IF those who believe that Canada is the victim of a demographic trap due to uncontrolled immigration are right, then getting out of this trap is a priority.
As for strengthening the Canadian armed forces, it is becoming essential, if only to be taken seriously by Trump and other major democracies.
No one knows exactly what a new Trump era would mean. However, when a hurricane is on the horizon, it is wise to close the shutters on the house and stock up on provisions for harsh weather.
More than ever, Canada and Quebec need competent leaders.