The Russian strategy ofaggressive sanctuarization“, in the words of a diplomat from the Quai d’Orsay, called into question a form of military balance established for years. For Moscow, nuclear weapons are no longer only for defensive use but could be used if the Westerners were on the ground to fight alongside the Ukrainian army.
For Jean-Marie Collin, expert and spokesperson for ICAN (International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons), which received the Nobel Peace Prize in 2017, all signs of a “renuclearization” of the world are now evident. “China, Russia, United Kingdom, United States, France, North Korea, Israel, India and Pakistan, all modernizing, renewing their nuclear arsenals” notes the specialist. “China and Britain are increasing their nuclear arsenals“, adds Jean-Mari Collin. According to him, “all these states are dangers, some have much more aggressive postures like Russia, China, North Korea“, underlines the spokesperson of the ICAN.
In addition, the Iranian dossier is fueling international tensions. Can the Islamic Republic join the club of nuclear powers, wonders Jean-Marie Collin. “This question exists today because of the United States” he points out. “If they had not withdrawn from the Vienna Agreement Plan in 2018, we would have the certainty that Iran does not have nuclear arsenals since there is a whole verification process that was underway. , and which remains in progress even if there have been some penknives to this process“, observes the researcher.
“Iran remains a problem but we have the solution, it is the Vienna agreements.”
Jean-Marie Collin, specialist in defense and international security issuesfranceinfo
“The Vienna agreements are extremely effective and make it possible to ensure that Iran will never possess nuclear weapons. This is why the French, Germans, British and the European Union are behind these agreements and support them at arm’s length and want the United States to return to these agreements.“, explains Jean-Marie Collin. The whole question is whether Americans and Iranians will be able to agree, because the more time passes, the closer Iran gets to the atomic bomb.