“The RN vote is no longer a vote of protest” but “of adhesion”… Brice Teinturier’s “8:30 a.m. franceinfo”, Friday June 28, 2024

Brice Teinturier, deputy general director of the Ipsos polling institute and teacher at Sciences Po, was the guest of “8h30 franceinfo”, Friday June 28, 2024

Two days before the first round of the legislative elections, the National Rally and its allies are credited with 36%, according to the survey by the Ipsos institute for Radio France, France Télévision, The worldthe Jean Jaurès Foundation, the Sciences Po Political Research Center and the Montaigne Institute. “The National Rally vote is no longer a vote of protest alone,” analyzes the deputy general director of Ipsos Brice Teinturier, guest of “8h30 franceinfo”, Friday June 28. He answers questions from Benjamin Fontaine and Agathe Lambret.

“We are truly in agreement with the theses of the National Rally, in the idea that it is the one that would be the most credible to improve the situation”underlines Brice Teinturier. Some 56% of those questioned say they will vote for the RN “by adherence to values ​​and ideas” defended by Jordan Bardella’s party.

The voting period “dissatisfaction” is over, according to the pollster. “There was a distant time under Jean-Marie Le Pen in particular, when voters voted for Jean-Marie Le Pen, while wishing that he would not be elected President of the Republic. There, we were in the vote for dissatisfaction”, he emphasizes. The voter was instrumentalizing “a figure, a formation to express something” but did not wish “not to install him in power”, explains the Deputy Managing Director of Ipsos. The vote in favor of the National Rally “is less and less shameful, concealed, hidden”adds the deputy general director of the Ipsos polling institute.

🔴 Legislative ➡️ “One of the driving forces behind what we see today, since the European elections […]it is a vote of sanction against the executive,” says Brice Teinturier. pic.twitter.com/NOfwJoo9ox

— franceinfo (@franceinfo) June 28, 2024

Another point explaining the strength of the National Rally in the polls: the relationship of RN voters to programmatic issues. If “immigration remains the priority marker of the RN electorate (…), there is now this idea that compared to other political parties, they would do better” than the current power from a general point of view, observes Brice Teinturier. Then, his voters “pay much less attention to issues of budgetary and economic credibility”he notes, while it is “something decisive for LR or Renaissance voters”. Throughout the campaign, Marine Le Pen’s party has multiplied the nuances in its program, even the U-turns in economic matters: pensions, tax exemption for those under 30, elimination of VAT on basic necessities or even on agricultural “floor prices”. For the head of the polling institute, this “has very little impact, it slips on these voters”. “A contradiction or even a major development on an economic dimension of the RN program, that doesn’t really play a role,” he continues. The strength of the RN, “these are the general ideas, it is not the details of this or that measure” and “their feasibility”, he believes.

🔴 Legislative ➡️ “We always have as main drivers […]the question of purchasing power […]the question of immigration […]Security […]the future of public services. It is all of this that combines to favor in particular an RN vote,” says Brice Teinturier. pic.twitter.com/gI53upg39p

— franceinfo (@franceinfo) June 28, 2024

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