More voters would vote for the left if each party in the coalition presented a separate list, according to an Elabe poll for “L’Opinion”.
What political balance of power one year before the European elections? The RN, the presidential majority and the United Nupes are on the verge of voting intentions for the 2024 European elections, but more voters would vote for the left if each party in the coalition presented a separate list, according to a poll Elabe for Opinion posted Sunday, June 25.
In this study, in the event of a common Nupes list, the National Rally collects 27% of voting intentions, the macronie (Renaissance, MoDem, Horizons) 26% and the LFI-PCF-PS-EELV union 24.5%. The Republicans (9%), or even the party of Eric Zemmour Reconquête (5.5%) could also send deputies to the European Parliament.
Assuming separate lists of each of the political forces of the Nupes, the RN clearly comes out on top with 26% of the voting intentions, followed by the presidential majority (22.5%), then EELV (11%), the PS (9.5%), LFI tied with LR (8.5%) and Reconquest (5.5%). The PCF is only credited with 2%, behind the party of Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Debout la France (2.5%).
Left-wing voters scattered?
In detail, in the event of autonomous leftist lists, only 39% of Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s voters in the first round of the 2022 presidential election would vote for an LFI list, while 82% of them would cast their vote on a list Nudes. On the contrary, 74% of Yannick Jadot’s voters in 2022 would vote for an autonomous EELV list for European women, while only 63% of them would choose a Nupes list, 19% preferring to vote for the Macronist list.
Among Emmanuel Macron’s voters in the first round of 2022, 74% would vote for a Renaissance list next year in the event of a left alliance, which would be their preference for 7% of them. On the other hand, in the event of autonomous lists, the macronie would retain only 67% of its electorate of 2022, 17% of their voters scattering towards the lists PS (8%), EELV (6%), PCF (2%) and LFI (1%).
Survey carried out by internet from June 19 to 21 with a sample of 1,501 people representative of residents of metropolitan France aged 18 and over, including 1,397 registered on the electoral lists, according to the quota method. Margin of error between 1.5 and 3.5 points.