the resumption of cereal exports, a relief for several countries

The boat that left Odessa (Ukraine), Monday August 1, to export Ukrainian cereals “will transport approximately 26,500 tonnes“explains Florent Parmentier, general secretary of Cevipof. But”you have to put that in perspective compared to the 25 million tonnes that are expected for export. We are on a volume that is only emerging“, he moderates. These exports are nevertheless good news “for the countries that depend on these cereals, Lebanon in the first place“, but also Egypt and the Maghreb.

A return to normal is still distant and hypothetical, but Ukraine does not benefit from any “alternative by land“, specifies the researcher. “We will certainly need several more months [avant un retour à la normale]provided there is no security issue.“Logistics should also be slower than in normal times. The question of health standards, which are more difficult to respect in times of war, also arises. Egypt has notably requested guarantees on this point.