the New Popular Front obtains 28.1% of the votes in the first round, according to our Ipsos-Talan estimate, better than the Nupes in 2022

The alliance of left-wing parties, which notably includes La France insoumise, the Socialist Party, Les Ecologistes-EELV and the Communist Party, is however six points behind the RN and its allies.

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The union of the left has progressed. The candidates of the New Popular Front (NFP) alliance, which notably brings together La France insoumise, the Socialist Party, Les Ecologistes-EELV and the Communist Party, collected 28.1% of the votes cast during the first round of the legislative elections, Sunday June 30, according to an Ipsos-Talan estimate for France Télévisions, Radio France, France 24, RFI and LCP. The left bloc managed to do better than the 25.78% of the New Ecological and Social People’s Union (Nupes) in the first round of the 2022 legislative elections.

While it narrowly ranked first two years ago, the left is now behind the National Rally (RN) and its Ciottist allies (34%). It is followed by the presidential bloc (20.3%) and the Les Républicains party (10.2%), again according to our Ipsos-Talan estimate. The alliance’s candidates could win between 125 and 165 seats, according to an initial Ipsos-Talan projection to be handled with caution. Which would make it the second political force in the hemicycle.

The main left-wing forces agreed on a common front, a few days after the announcement of the dissolution of the National Assembly by Emmanuel Macron on June 9. They had distributed the 577 French constituencies, as in 2022. To take into account the result of the European elections, where Raphaël Glucksmann’s list came first on the left with 13.83% of the votes, the socialists obtained more seats than two years ago. In 2022, left-wing forces sat in four different groups in the Assembly. At the time of the dissolution, the latter had 151 deputies.

Several outgoing deputies are defending their chances of being re-elected. This is particularly the case of the LFI coordinator, Manuel Bompard, candidate in the 4th constituency of Bouches-du-Rhône. For his part, the boss of the PS, Olivier Faure, is trying to keep his seat in the 11th constituency of Seine-et-Marne.

The leader of the communists, Fabien Roussel, announced that he was eliminated by the RN candidate in the 20th constituency of the North. On the Ecologists’ side, the leader of the green deputies, Cyrielle Chatelain, is running in the 2nd constituency of Isère.

“A massive vote foiled the trap that was set for the country”welcomed Jean-Luc Mélenchon, welcoming a “heavy and indisputable defeat” for Emmanuel Macron, his candidates and the “alleged presidential majority”. “Nowhere will we allow the RN to win, and that is why, in the event that we only come third, we will withdraw our candidacy,” declared the leader of LFI, evoking future three-way races in the second round.

Same slogan for Raphaël Glucksmann, head of the PS-Public Place list in the European elections. “It’s no longer just a legislative election, it’s a referendum”he commented. “Do we want, yes or no, that the extreme right, for the first time in the history of France, conquer power in our country through the ballot box?”

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The head of Ecologists-EELV, Marine Tondelier, also called for “construction of a new republican front” in the second round of the legislative elections, directly challenging Emmanuel Macron’s camp. “It would be incomprehensible if some people continue not to differentiate between the left and the extreme right”she said, urging the “centrist politicians” At “withdrawal if you are third in the triangulars, and, if you are not qualified in the second round, [à un] call to vote for a candidate who defends republican values”.


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