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A warming of more than 4° in 2100, this is the scenario chosen by the government for its future climate adaptation plan. With longer and stronger heat waves, floods or the melting of glaciers, France must anticipate this disruption.
Three months of heat wave, each year, in the Mediterranean, two months in the north of France, tropical nights at more than 20°. This would be one of the consequences of global warming in 2100, according to the government, which retains a pessimistic scenario. Experts predict plus 3° worldwide, but plus 4° in France. Because for 30 years, the warming in Europe is more than twice higher than the average of the planet.
Measures planned by the government
And this warming will lead to a wave of violent climatic episodes. From 2050, multiplication of forest fires, cyclones, heat islands, but also floods, submersion of coasts, floods and decreases in snow cover. For François Gemenne, a specialist in global warming, it is high time to prepare for this change, with works, the modification of economic activities and “Better Prepare for Disasters”. The government is working on a water plan to better manage and use this scarce resource. There is also a heat wave plan, to anticipate and protect against them, and measures for emerging risks in the mountains, such as the destabilization of glaciers.