After a small rebound in the polls before the holiday season, Justin Trudeau’s Liberals are falling again.
An Abacus poll from December showed a loss of 5 points for the conservatives, suggesting a plateau in their rise. But the first poll of the year shows that the Conservatives have gained 4 points since mid-December.
Pierre Poilievre’s party now leads the Liberals by 17 points, according to the results of an Abacus poll conducted from January 4 to 9, 2024.
The survey also reveals that a significant desire for change continues to be felt across the country: 53% of Canadians believe that it is time to change government and that there is a good alternative to Justin Trudeau.
In end-of-year interviews, the Prime Minister repeatedly said that he would seek a fourth term as leader of the Liberal Party. Despite his decline in the polls, the latter affirms that he still has a lot to offer his party.
Although polls are not indisputable predictions, experts polled by The duty on the eve of the holidays indicated that the slope will be very difficult for the Prime Minister to overcome in 2024.
If an election were held today, 41% of committed voters would vote for the Conservatives, compared to 24% for the Liberals, 18% for the NDP and 4% for the Greens. The Bloc Québécois is at 33% in Quebec.
The next elections are scheduled for 2025, but could be called earlier, with the government in a minority position.
Still according to the most recent Abacus poll, cost of living and housing remain the most important issues for voters. Health, immigration and climate change are also among respondents’ concerns.
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