the Blues in the round of 16 of Euro 2024 if…

After its sluggish victory against Austria (1-0), France has the possibility of validating its ticket for the elimination phase, from Friday (9 p.m.), against the Netherlands.

France Télévisions – Sports Editorial

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Adrien Rabiot and N'Golo Kanté during France's entry into the Euro, against Austria, on June 17, 2024, in Düsseldorf.  (NIGEL KEENE / AFP)

The Blues can already afford to glimpse the round of 16. Thanks to its victory against Austria (1-0), Monday, the French team moved closer to the elimination phase and can definitively validate its qualification for the round of 16, Friday June 21, in Leipzig, facing in the Nederlands.

But for this, Kylian Mbappé’s teammates have no room for error because a single scenario guarantees them a place in the eighth from this second group match. Franceinfo: sport has taken out paper and pencil to develop all possible scenarios.

Victory synonymous with qualification

This ideal scenario imposes a victory for Didier Deschamps’ men against the Netherlands and at the same time, a draw between Poland and Austria, in the other Group D match, which takes place at 6 p.m., or a defeat teammates of Robert Lewandowski. With this new success, the French team, with six points, would be assured of finishing in one of the first two places in its group or of being among the four best third places.

A non-penalizing draw

In the event of a draw against Virgil van Dijk’s teammates, the Blues would also be on a favorable waiver. Even if they lose their last match, they would, with four points, be in a good position to be among the four best third places in the group. During the two previous editions with 24 teams, in 2016 and 2021, the teams totaling four points during the group stage were all among the best third places, synonymous with qualification for the round of 16.

A defeat would make elimination possible

If it were to lose against the Netherlands, the French team, however, would have to wait until the last day, Tuesday June 25, against Poland to validate their ticket. In the event of another failure, there is no guarantee of reaching the final phase of the competition.


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