“The big winner for the moment, for me, is Iran,” analyzes Jean-Yves Le Drian

Guest of franceinfo, the former Minister of Foreign Affairs, Jean-Yves Le Drian, returned to the agreement between Israel and Hamas on Wednesday. According to him, “the massacre initiated by Hamas first made it possible to avoid normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel.”

After 47 days of war between Israel and Hamas, whose terrorist attack on October 7 caused the death of at least 1,400 Israelis, and while an agreement was reached between the two parties on Wednesday November 22 for the in place of a four-day truce and the release of hostages against Palestinian prisoners, “the big winner for the moment, for me, is Iran”estimates the former Minister of Foreign Affairs, Jean-Yves Le Drian, guest of franceinfo.

For the former minister, the “haunting” from Tehran, “this is the strength that Saudi Arabia can represent”, enemy of Iran. The regime feared that a “regional reorganization” in the Middle East, through the rapprochement which was initiated between Riyadh and Israel and which has been suspended since the Hamas attack, does not take place “to his detriment”. So, according to Jean-Yves Le Drian, the drama of October 7 “serves Iran” : “The big winner for the moment, for me, is Iran. Because the operation, the massacre initiated by Hamas, first made it possible to avoid normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel. It was probably the first goal we were looking for.”

Moreover, “Iran comes out victorious in the situation because the Palestinian question has returned to the center and it makes itself its spokesperson. It makes itself leader. It makes itself its defender. And it shows that it there is no invulnerability of Israel today (…) and that violent action pays.” Without forgetting the fact that the international community is turning its gaze away from the internal situation in Iran: “Meanwhile, they continue their efforts to strengthen their nuclear capabilities and they continue their efforts in missile technology. They continue their efforts in space. In short, during this time, Iran continues to establish his authority.”

Jean-Yves Le Drian, who today serves as Emmanuel Macron’s special envoy for Lebanon, is also worried about the situation in the north of Israel with the threat from Hezbollah, a supporter of Hamas. “We see tensions increasing in South Lebanon with exchanges of fire, with dozens of deaths of which little is spoken, including two of your colleagues who were killed yesterday in South Lebanon”journalists from the Al Mayadeen television channel who were covering Israeli bombings in the region.

“The leader’s statements [Hassan] Nasrallah of Hezbollah shows that he probably does not want to go too far. But no one should go too far and the risks, if the tension continues, are that there will be incidents which can no longer be controlled, and at that point, an explosion which would affect Lebanon. himself. I think there may be sparks that cause larger fires.”believes the former minister.

Especially since the “country is on the brink of war” at a time when it has been undergoing a major political crisis for several years, “there is no President of the Republic, there is no Prime Minister, since he only manages current affairs. The government does not meet and the Assembly does not meet. ( …) Who controls Lebanon? Nobody. So it is urgent that the Lebanese realize that the vitality of their own State is at stake.”