The quantity of cereals intended for export and blocked in Ukraine because of the war could triple “by the fall” to reach 75 million tonnes, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned on Monday.
“Currently, between 20 and 25 million tonnes of grain are blocked and this autumn this figure could increase to 70-75 million tonnes,” the Ukrainian president, whose country was the world’s fourth largest exporter of wheat and corn, told reporters. corn before the Russian invasion.
“We need maritime corridors and we are discussing this with Turkey and the United Kingdom” as well as with the UN, specified the Ukrainian president, adding that exports by sea allow for the export of 10 million tonnes by month.
Ukraine is also discussing with Poland and the Baltic countries to export small quantities of grain by railways, he added.
“We need to be able to export cereals and I think we will,” he said.
Russian President Vladimir Putin assured last week that there were “no problems exporting grain from Ukraine” referring to ways to export from Ukrainian ports, others under Russian control or via the Central and Eastern Europe.
Ukraine, which accuses Russia of blocking its ports, rejects these solutions.
“Putin cannot be trusted,” Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kouleba wrote on Twitter on Monday, reacting to Moscow’s promises not to attack the port of Odessa.
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has pitted two cereal superpowers against each other since February 24 – Russia and Ukraine together provide 30% of world wheat exports. It caused a spike in the prices of cereals and oils, the prices of which exceeded those reached during the Arab springs of 2011 and the “food riots” of 2008.
Ukraine was on the way, just before the war, to becoming the world’s third largest wheat exporter and alone accounted for half of the world’s trade in sunflower seeds and oil.
The UN fears “a hurricane of famine”, mainly in African countries which imported more than half of their wheat from Ukraine or Russia.
For the 2021-2022 season, Ukraine exported 20 million tons of wheat and 27.5 million tons of corn, according to the report of WASDE (World Argicultural Supply and Demand Estimates) of the United States Department of Agriculture.