Recent events in Syria have sparked optimism for a peaceful political transition and justice, as highlighted by expert Bente Scheller. The decline of Assad’s regime is linked to dwindling support from allies like Russia and Iran, as well as the advances of various rebel factions. Despite potential conflicts arising from past grievances, there is hope for collaboration among diverse groups. The emotional toll on the population is significant, with many longing for missing loved ones and a clearer political future.
The recent developments in Syria have ignited hope among the populace for a smooth transition and justice, according to Syria expert Bente Scheller. She emphasizes that the victory was not solely attributed to the rebel group HTS, indicating that power must now be shared among various factions.
Rapid Regime Collapse: What Led to Assad’s Downfall?
Bente Scheller: The rapid decline of Assad’s regime can be attributed to several factors, notably his waning support. The departure of Russian ships from Tartus serves as a poignant symbol of Russia, Assad’s key ally, distancing itself from him.
Recent statements from Iran and Moscow have conveyed a clear message: if Assad cannot maintain control, their support will dwindle as well.
Additionally, the Islamist rebels launched an offensive from the north, making significant gains, particularly in Aleppo. The Kurds in the east and the Druze in the south have also mobilized, sending a clear message of resistance from across the nation.
A Vision for Order and Justice
What Does Power Transition Look Like?
Scheller: I recently saw footage of Prime Minister Mohamed al-Jalali being escorted from his office by rebel forces, which many Syrians interpret as a sign of hope for an orderly political transition that prioritizes justice over vengeance.
This aspiration for justice resonates deeply within the Syrian diaspora, who are closely monitoring the situation to see if there will be acts of retaliation or if justice will be served through proper channels. The hope is for a peaceful transition that avoids further bloodshed and chaos.
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Building Unity Amidst Chaos
The Challenge of Diverse Power Groups
Scheller: Achieving unity among the various groups vying for power in Syria is crucial. I believe there is potential for agreement, as many have been actively engaged in long-term negotiations and trust-building efforts, rather than seeking immediate control.
This groundwork has been laid not only by Syrians in the diaspora but also by those still within the country. It’s a pivotal moment that demonstrates the progress made even amidst a brutal conflict, and there is hope that this foundation can be built upon.
Following the capture of Damascus, it seems the Islamist factions are keen to maintain order and prevent chaos.
The Voices Shaping Syria’s Future
Who Will Lead in the Coming Days?
Scheller: Abu Muhammad al-Jolani, the leader of the HTS group, holds significant power due to the momentum of his offensive. However, other groups, particularly the Druze in the south, remain influential, as they continue to protest against Assad’s regime. It’s evident that governance in Syria must be a collaborative effort.
Balancing Fear and Hope
Are New Conflicts on the Horizon?
Scheller: Given the historical context of oppression and favoritism among different groups in Syria, there are indeed potential conflicts looming. Some individuals involved in past atrocities may resist facing justice, leading to a complex situation that cannot be resolved overnight.
The path ahead will be challenging, yet the optimism stemming from recent events is encouraging. Syrians harbor mixed emotions; I have yet to meet someone who doesn’t express both fear and hope for the future.
Longing for Reunion with the Missing
How is the Population Responding?
Scheller: Conversations with people in Syria reveal a mix of relief and disbelief regarding the rapid changes unfolding. The suffering endured over the years, including displacements and the anguish of missing loved ones, weighs heavily on the population. With over 100,000 individuals unaccounted for, there is a renewed hope for reunions and the possibility of returning home.
Political clarity is needed, but for now, the emotional responses to what many thought was unimaginable are taking precedence.
Opposition Members: A Role in the New Government?
What’s Next for Opposition Figures?
Scheller: Opposition members don’t need to be integrated from the outside; they have maintained strong networks within Syria. Communication has been challenging due to surveillance, but their connections remain robust, and they are poised to contribute their insights and experiences to any emerging government.
Regional Reactions to Syria’s Shifting Landscape
How Will Neighboring Countries Respond?
Scheller: Syria shares borders with Iraq, Turkey, Jordan, and Israel. The reactions of these neighboring nations in the wake of these changes will be critical to the region’s stability.