According to the latest Léger poll, Pablo Rodriguez’s impact on the Quebec Liberal Party and his competitiveness seem undeniableeven insurmountable.
The main person concerned not only largely dominates among liberal voters, if Mr. Rodriguez were finally to be elected at the head of the PLQ, he would propel the party (+11%) into a real three-way race with the CAQ and the PQ, returning to the passage with the French-speaking electorate.
The phenomenon is, to say the least, spectacular. Voters, far from penalizing him for his association with a PLC that has run out of steam and been neglected, seem to see him as a serious and promising candidate.
In difficulty
However, the triumph of one causes, as always, the misfortune of others. The prospects for Denis Coderre and Charles Milliard look much less promising. For Coderre, his notoriety (82% of respondents know him) is double-edged: certainly, he is identifiable, but not necessarily in a flattering way, since 52% of respondents have an unfavorable opinion of him, compared to only 30% who are of him. more lenient.
Impervious electorate
As for Charles Milliard, his low notoriety (17% of respondents know who he is) constitutes an obvious handicap. This lack of visibility persists despite his notable activism in the leadership campaign, increasing his public appearances and garnering the support of a few MPs. But, visibly, the electorate remains unmoved by his efforts. He is also neck and neck with Marc Bélanger, an almost unknown candidate, who is leading a campaign of great discretion.
It is obviously premature to predict the outcome of this race, especially since it has not even officially started yet. This poll reveals, however, that the Liberals are not entirely in agony, that a charismatic leader can still revive eroded confidence, and that, against all expectations, French-speaking voters have not completely closed their doors.