Senate elections in the shadow of the assassination of Shinzo Abe

Japanese voters began voting on Sunday to renew half of the Upper House of Parliament, a poll largely overshadowed by the assassination two days earlier of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe at an election rally in Nara, South Korea. west of the country.

Japan’s current Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, whose Liberal Democratic Party (PLD, nationalist right) was widely favored in the polls, denounced the “barbaric” attack on his former mentor, insisting on the importance of “defending free and fair elections, which are the foundation of democracy”.

“We will never give in to violence,” he added.

The shooting assassination of Mr. Abe, one of the Archipelago’s best-known politicians, has deeply hurt and moved people in Japan and abroad, and messages of condolence have poured in from all over the world, including from China and South Korea, with which Japan has often rocky relations.

The alleged perpetrator of the attack, arrested at the scene, confessed to having deliberately targeted Mr. Abe, explaining to the police that he was angry at an organization to which he believed that he was affiliated. Some Japanese media mentioned a religious group.

This 41-year-old man named Tetsuya Yamagami is said to be a former member of the Maritime Self-Defense Force (the Japanese Navy), and told law enforcement that he used a homemade weapon.

Inflation at the heart of concerns

After being briefly suspended by the various parties at the news of the attack on the former prime minister, the electoral campaign resumed on Saturday with heightened security measures, as the police in Nara acknowledged “undeniable” flaws in those surrounding Mr. Abe’s meeting.

It was dominated by local concerns, in particular price rises and risks relating to electricity supply, while the heat wave that has affected Japan since the end of June has raised fears of an electricity shortage.

The ruling coalition, formed by the Liberal Democratic Party (PLD) of Mr. Kishida, 64, and his ally Komeito, could according to projections win more than 70 seats out of the 125 to be filled on Sunday (the Senate has a total of 248 seats, half renewed every three years).

For lack of being able to present an attractive alternative, the center-left Constitutional Democratic Party (PDC) risks losing part of the 45 seats it currently holds, according to the polls, and its place as the main opposition force.

In a country often criticized for the lack of female representation in its institutions and the management of its companies, a record proportion of 33% of women appear this Sunday among the 545 candidates.

A landslide victory in the senatorial elections would consolidate the power of Fumio Kishida, who has championed a more redistributive economic policy dubbed “new capitalism”, ahead of a three-year period without scheduled elections.

His close cooperation with Japan’s Western allies to put pressure on Russia has also been praised in the Archipelago, and his plan to “significantly” increase the defense budget is also popular, as China continues to assert its territorial ambitions in Asia-Pacific.

The trend of increased defense spending could strengthen further after the election, according to Yu Uchiyama, professor of political science at the University of Tokyo, who believes that the “tough stance [du Japon] with regard to China will probably be maintained”.

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