(London) Oil stabilized on Friday after the meeting of OPEC+ exporting countries and the announcement of additional voluntary production cuts by some of these members, which were, however, greeted with skepticism by investors, because they were smaller than expected. anticipated.
Around 5:45 a.m. (Eastern time), the price of a barrel of North Sea Brent for delivery in February, which is the first day of use as a reference contract, rose 0.10% to 80 .94 dollars.
Its American equivalent, a barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI), for delivery in January, gained 0.20% to $76.11.
After lengthy negotiations, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) announced new oil production cuts for 2024 on Thursday.
The price of oil “stabilized at the start of Friday, after the strong oscillations of Thursday”, the market digesting this announcement, with cuts however more modest and reduced over time than anticipated by investors, summarizes Ricardo Evangelista, analyst at ActivTrades.
“This puts an end to speculation about future supply developments, and the demand outlook should once again attract attention,” say Commerzbank analysts.
Riyadh announced the extension of its reduction measure of one million barrels per day (bpd) until “the end of the first quarter of 2024”, followed by Russia, which also extends cuts on its exports by three months , deepened to 200,000 barrels.
Other member countries of the alliance such as the United Arab Emirates, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman will also make smaller reductions, for nearly 700,000 bpd in total, a the group said in a press release.
In total, OPEC+ announced additional voluntary cuts amounting to 2.2 million bpd, “which seems impressive at first glance,” admit DNB analysts. But without counting the extensions of additional voluntary cuts from Russia and Saudi Arabia anticipated by the market, only 900,000 bjp should therefore be withdrawn until March 2024.
“What was announced as a major OPEC measure “turns out to be, in our view, a modest adjustment in production,” these analysts say. They also note that Saudi Arabia did not want to further slash its production, which “could be seen as a sign that the de facto leader of OPEC is starting to feel the pain of its cuts”.
The discord over production quotas does not seem buried.
Angola, which was given a production target lower than that decided in June, rejected this new quota. “A note of protest was sent to the general secretariat of OPEC,” said the Angolan Ministry of Mineral Resources and Oil in a statement sent to AFP.
“Our country has been a member of (OPEC) for more than 16 years and during this period, it has fully respected all the obligations of the Organization, while participating in the efforts deployed by the signatory countries […] to stabilize the international oil market,” he insisted.
Furthermore, “a severe storm on the Black Sea seriously disrupted oil shipments from export terminals” in the area, providing some support for prices, notes Carsten Fritsch of Commerzbank.
“Kazakh oil supplies are particularly affected,” according to the analyst. “Oil production in the three largest Kazakh oil fields, Tengiz, Kashagan and Karachaganak, had to be reduced by 67%. »