The major balances should not change during the senatorial elections which take place on Sunday September 24.
No revolution to expect at the Luxembourg Palace. But there may be surprises because according to one senator: “the senatorial elections are the only election where the voter lies more than the candidate”. These voters are mainly mayors, not included, courted by all camps. Sometimes they say “yes I will vote for you”…to several candidates. Not enough to upset the major balances, however.
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Slight rebalancing between right and left
The presidency of Gérard Larcher is not threatened even if the right will lose a few feathers. The LR group will go from 145 to 140 senators according to the most optimistic.
On the left, socialists, communists and ecologists hope to increase from 91 to 100 senators. There will perhaps be a “small revolution” on this side of the hemicycle: the Greens could be more numerous than the Communists for the first time, because the ecologists have won town halls, the PCF has lost some. “It’s not just symbolicinsists a socialist, because the 2nd left group has the right to a vice-presidency”. On the other hand, the rebels risk remaining at the door of the Senate. There is no Nupes agreement on Sunday and LFI has few local elected officials. The Insoumis are campaigning with this argument, “if you support Nupes, you must vote for LFI”. They even use the Nupes graphic charter. Socialists and ecologists wrote to them yesterday to complain about it.
Not many people in the center and on the far right
On the Macronist side, the senatorial elections are not a promising election. “You will need a Geiger counter [détecteur de radiations nucléaires] to find Macronist voters”, quips a centrist. In the Renaissance group, there are 24 today and could finish between 18 and 22 on Sunday. A senator reassures himself: “At least we win the presidential elections.” The total number of supporters of the Head of State in the Senate should increase, because the friends of Édouard Philippe could be a little more numerous on Sunday.
For the National Rally, the challenge is to make its return to the Senate. They had two elected officials in 2014. “It can’t be worse than today since we have zero,” plays down a leader. The RN has very modest ambitions: a handful of elected officials would do the trick. It is possible in the North, Pas-de-Calais, Oise and even Moselle, but no resounding entry is planned because they lost ground in the last territorial elections.