Insights on Syria: A Conversation with Middle East Specialist Bente Scheller

The article discusses the escalating conflict between Israel and Hezbollah, which is significantly affecting Syria. With over 270,000 refugees fleeing Lebanon to Syria, the already dire humanitarian situation worsens, as 90% of Syrians live below the poverty line. The UN warns of potential humanitarian crises, compounded by Israeli bombings that increasingly threaten civilians. The situation is further complicated by various groups vying for influence and the potential implications on regional stability, with the need for continued humanitarian aid highlighted.

The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon is significantly influencing the situation in Syria. Israel frequently targets Hezbollah fighters within Syrian territory, prompting the UN special envoy to issue warnings about the potential for the conflict to escalate further. Additionally, reports indicate that over 270,000 individuals have fled Lebanon for safety in Syria. Bente Scheller, an expert on Middle Eastern affairs, is closely monitoring these developments.

SRF News: With Syria having faced war-like conditions for 13 years, the influx of refugees from Lebanon raises questions about their reception. What is their situation?

Bente Scheller: The conditions are extremely challenging. Prior to this crisis, a staggering 90% of the Syrian population was living below the poverty line, and now the country is struggling to accommodate the additional refugees. Providing adequate support is a monumental task, especially with the primary route connecting Lebanon to Syria being bombed by Israel. This has severely hindered the transportation of essential goods during a critical time.

The Middle East officer at the Norwegian Refugee Council mentioned that Syria is facing its third humanitarian crisis in twelve months, following those in Gaza and Lebanon. Do you concur?

Indeed, the situation in Syria was already dire, and with the arrival of Lebanese refugees, it has become even more precarious. The probability of a humanitarian crisis developing here is alarmingly high.

Moreover, various factions are vying for their interests in Syria amidst the ongoing conflict in Lebanon. Russian and Turkish military actions are occurring, while ISIS appears to be gaining strength. In southern Syria, Israel is actively trying to solidify its position on the Golan Heights.

What are the risks of the Middle East conflict spilling over into Syria?

Historically, Israeli bombings were specifically targeted at Hezbollah in an effort to impede their military advancements. However, these strikes have become less precise, resulting in collateral damage affecting Syrian civilians.

This escalation is likely to lead to increased displacement and heightened fear among the already vulnerable Syrian populace. Syria is facing further destabilization, with no signs of improvement for its citizens in recent years. Humanitarian assistance has dwindled, and the country’s economy and infrastructure are severely damaged.

Bashar al-Assad, Syria’s leader, appears to be maintaining a notably composed demeanor amid Israeli bombardments. Is that a correct assessment?

Yes, that observation holds true. Assad might be adopting this stance to avoid being a target himself while also contemplating whether this situation could serve as an opportunity to improve relations with Western nations.

The UN envoy expresses concerns about the implications for international stability. Do you share this view?

This is indeed a critical issue—particularly when considering the Kurdish regions and areas where US troops remain stationed, both of which contribute to regional stability. However, discussions about the potential withdrawal of US forces have been ongoing for years. It is essential that humanitarian aid continues to flow into Syria from Western countries. Despite pressure from other global conflicts, we cannot afford to diminish our support for the Syrian people.

This interview was conducted by Brigitte Kramer.

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