General elections will take place on July 4 in the United Kingdom. If the British Prime Minister took everyone by surprise with this announcement, the anticipated legislative elections in France seem even more surprising to political observers across the Channel.
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The British know how to create surprises in politics, they proved it in 2016 with the Brexit referendum. But this time, Anand Menon recognizes that France did very well with this dissolution of the National Assembly announced on the evening of the European results by Emmanuel Macron and in the process, the holding of legislative elections, three weeks later.
This professor of political science at King’s College London is carefully watching what is happening on the other side of the Channel. “It’s a huge gamble, Justice Anand Menon. These are two-round elections in France, not like here. And that allows the second round to vote against the extremes. So, we can clearly see what Macron is imagining but, my word, it’s a daring bet!”
“It’s Macron’s choice, isn’t it? He believes so much in his star.”
Anand Menon, professor of political scienceat franceinfo
The United Kingdom has its fourth Prime Minister in five years, all Conservatives. But if we are to believe all the polls, the fifth, who will be appointed after the July 4 election, will be Labor. And barring any major surprises, he should stay in office for a long time.
Political scientist Sophie Stowers notes that the future in France is less clear. “There are many political leaders whose future seems very uncertain. For once, it is the British Prime Minister who could remain the same in the coming months. We are not used to it. It’s quite pleasant to notice that, for once, in the differences between the two countries, we appear to be the most stable.
In an editorial in Telegraph, right-wing newspaper, Matthew Lynn predicts a financial crisis to come in France if the RN takes power. He even speaks of a “Truss effect” named after the Prime Minister who plunged the United Kingdom’s economy into chaos in just a few days.
