growth that will run out of steam in 2022?

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FRANCE 2

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A.Miguet, L.Perez, G.Caron, A.Locascio, C.Wang – France 2

France Televisions

In China, growth jumped to 8.1% of GDP last year. However, the estimates are far from good for 2022. The Chinese consume little, find it difficult to buy a home and worry about the future.

In 2021, China maintained its position as the world’s growth leader. Indeed, there were record exports, up nearly 30%. But the year 2022 promises to be less glorious. First of all, the real estate sector is in crisis. It usually generates a quarter of the GDP. There are also epidemic rebounds. With its zero Covid policy, China does not hesitate to reconfine millions of people, thus bringing economic activity to a halt.

Consumption, for its part, has never returned to its pre-epidemic level. Leisure, transport, tourism and catering are thus lagging behind. “Everything is expensive, we buy less”, says a Chinese woman. “Wages are low, we don’t have the means”, continues another resident. The rise in the cost of living also explains the decline in the birth rate in China. The rate has never been so low since 1978. In 2022, Chinese growth should barely exceed 5%.


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