This Monday begins the examination of the immigration bill in the Law Committee of the National Assembly and the – relative – presidential majority wishes to try everything to avoid having recourse to 49.3.
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Gérald Darmanin repeats it in every tone: he does not want to have his immigration law adopted via 49.3, while his project arrives on Monday November 27 in the Law Committee of the Assembly. In the majority, many of them are on the line of the Minister of the Interior: we will have to go to the vote, even if it means losing, insist ministers and deputies. Losing when you are in a relative majority is one of the risks, they put things into perspective. “We must above all stop talking about a possible 49.3, insists a deputyit pushes LR to radicalize”. The objective is to go to the vote and win by making the right face its responsibilities.
On the right there was movement this weekend. Despite the intransigence displayed by the leaders, 17 LR deputies are constructive in the newspaper The gallery. A “good signal” judge a close friend of Gérald Darmanin. “We will only be able to cast our votes if the spirit of the project voted by the Senate prevails,” write these 17 deputies. They put pressure on the majority so that it does not unravel all the measures toughened by the senators.
The majority also counts on abstainers
But there will inevitably be some unraveling because State Medical Aid will be restored and the regularization of undocumented workers will be relaxed, otherwise it is the left wing of the macronie which risks defaulting. Some of these constructive LR deputies could, however, end up abstaining if they do not vote for the text. Picking up abstentions here and there is an integral part of the majority’s strategy to succeed.
The Macronists make no secret of it, they will be intractable with LR: “we can trust Darmaninlaughs an executive advisor, he will be responsible for letting people know which right-wing deputies vote against a law that facilitates expulsions, that will go badly with their voters.”. The law still needs to pass. The stakes are enormous “If there is a 49.3, Darmanin is burned, if there is a vote and he loses, he is burned… but if he wins, he becomes untouchable”, according to a minister.
