Demystifying the economy | The growth of the railway industry

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“How much do you estimate the increase in rail traffic in Canada and the United States over the next ten years? Do railway companies pay the same taxes on petroleum fuels as other consumers? –Jean Perreault

Sources vary when it comes to measuring the industry’s anticipated growth. There is no equivalent in the railway sector to the International Air Transport Association, which represents the airline industry. Opinions therefore vary from one firm to another.

Despite volumes that may contract from time to time in the current economic context, the railways should remain on an upward trajectory in the longer term. According to the American firm Grand View Research, annual growth should be around 4.4% by the end of the decade.

In a report released at the end of March, the New York firm Technavio anticipated, for its part, an annual increase of around 7.5% in the North American rail industry.

” That [la croissance] will also be stimulated by the fact that we all understand that in order to achieve a certain carbon neutrality and reduce greenhouse gases […]what we recommend is to use rail transport more than trucks,” illustrates Jacques Roy, professor of operations and logistics management at HEC Montréal.

There is a strong trend that will favor the railways.

Jacques Roy, Professor of Operations and Logistics Management at HEC Montréal

As for the fuel component, the answer is clearer: yes, rail carriers must pay taxes. They are subject to the federal excise tax on diesel fuel – 4 cents per liter – and other tax measures in force in each province and state south of the border. In Quebec, the tax on “fuel oil for locomotives” is 3 cents per litre, according to data from Revenu Québec.

The most recent annual report from the Canadian National Railway Company (CN) confirms this trend. Last year, the country’s largest rail carrier saw its fuel bill reach $2.5 billion. This sum takes into account “provincial, federal and state taxes on fuel”, specifies the company based in Montreal. However, it does not specify how many liters of fuel oil were consumed by its locomotives. It is therefore difficult to have an idea of ​​the amount paid to governments in taxes and other duties.

In addition to taxes, greenhouse gas emissions have an impact for CN. In an investor report dated 2022 on “climate change”, the company points out that elements such as the capping of GHG emissions in Quebec had had an “impact on [ses] activities “.

“We had to pay carbon taxes in British Columbia and Alberta and suffered the effects of the federal fuel charge, which came into effect in 2019,” adds CN.

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