Biden and the Democrats find colors before the midterm elections

(Washington) Reforms that are advancing, polls that quiver, and above all a debate on abortion that never ceases to plague the Republican camp: before the November mid-term elections, the American Democrats and their leader of file Joe Biden find colors.

The President of the United States wants to warm up his troops on Thursday during a Democratic rally in the inner suburbs of Washington.

According to his spokeswoman Karine Jean-Pierre, he will hammer home the “contrast” between the Democratic vision of America and that which he attributes to the Republicans.

To sum up all the evil he thinks of Republican ideas and in particular those of the former president’s supporters, Joe Biden now calls them “ultra MAGA” (MAGA for “Make America Great Again”, Donald’s emblematic slogan Trump).

According to Karine Jean-Pierre, the conservative camp wants to “remove rights”, in particular by considering a nationwide ban on abortion, “defend the super-rich and multinationals” and “dismantle” social assistance systems.

Opinion polls are always to be taken with a grain of salt, however the trend that has been emerging for about a month in favor of the Democratic camp seems clear.

According to the FiveThirtyEight site, which aggregates polls, voters wishing for a Democratic victory in the midterm elections were even on August 24 a little more numerous (44%) than those hoping for a Republican success (43.6%).

Red wave or blue surprise?

We are far from the “red wave” (the color of the conservative party) still envisaged at the beginning of the summer, when high inflation seemed to destroy the chances of the president and his party.

The victory on Wednesday of a Democrat in a hotly contested district of New York State was seen as a further indication of the reversal of the trend.

And some commentators are now wondering if the 79-year-old Democrat — whose approval ratings have also been rising since a low in early July — is going to prove electoral history wrong.

Traditionally, the president’s party loses these elections, which renew all the seats in the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the Senate.

The most important factor in this new momentum owes nothing to Joe Biden, quite the contrary: it is the end of the constitutional right to abortion, decided at the end of July by a very conservative Supreme Court shaped by Donald Trump.

While a majority of Americans are in favor of the right to abortion, the Democrats are determined to make this question a central issue in the ballot.

The party can also rest on the undeniable progress of the presidential program, in particular the vote of gigantic expenditure in favor of the fight against climate change and for technological innovation.

Not to mention other strong announcements, whether it is the death of the leader of Al-Qaeda following an American strike, or the partial cancellation of part of the student debt.

On the economic front, inflation is showing signs of slowing, while employment remains booming.

A recent highly commented poll, revealed by the NBC channel, even indicates that the first concern of voters would now be “the dangers weighing on democracy”, ahead of the cost of living – enough to further fuel the hopes of the Democrats, while the supporters of the former president continue to claim that Joe Biden “stole” his election.

Feverishness

The Republicans, they show signs of feverishness. Their leader in the Senate, Mitch McConnell, believes that the Conservative Party has only a one in two chance of capturing a majority in the upper house of Congress.

Is this trend unfavorable? Or the accumulation of procedures and investigations aimed at him? Still, Donald Trump, who does not carry Mitch McConnell in his heart, split a particularly virulent statement on Wednesday, calling him a “pawn” in the service of the Democrats.

But nothing says that all the candidates of the Democratic Party will brag about the successes of Joe Biden or appear with the one who arouses frank hatred among many Republican sympathizers.

In some tight polls, presidential party candidates keep their distance. Marcy Kaptur, elected Democrat in the House of Representatives who is seeking re-election in Ohio, thus broadcast a campaign clip ending with this sentence: “She does not work for Joe Biden. She works for you. »