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Political scientist Valérie Niquet estimates on franceinfo that China will have to deal with an attitude of appeasement until the American presidential election, while the presidential election in Taiwan has sparked renewed tensions between Beijing and Washington around this island. China considers it one of its provinces.
“China is facing significant economic difficulties internally, indicates Valérie Niquet, political scientist and head of the Asia pole at the Foundation for Strategic Research, while two American deputies arrived in Taiwan on Wednesday, as a sign of support, after the recent presidential election under constant pressure from Beijing won by Lai Ching- you on the autonomous island. Also, we can clearly see that Beijing has tried to calm relations with the European Union and Joe Biden to try to loosen the grip of economic sanctions on exports of technology transfers.”
“Indeed, contrary to what has long been said, continues Valérie Niquet, in the Franceinfo Talk on Twitch, that is to say that China is the leading technological power in the world, when Donald Trump put in place a certain number of sanctions, notably on microprocessors, we realized that China could not manufacture a huge number of high-tech goods. export only if it had access to microprocessors manufactured in Taiwan… with American patent.”
Donald Trump, a “big question mark”
“China is very dependent on the outside world and it is clearly trying to calm things down at the moment.recalls Valérie Niquet. And I think she will maintain this attitude at least until the American elections with Donald Trump coming to power, which is a big question mark.”
“What interests Donald Trump, she concludes, it is keeping China in a situation of uncertainty which means that they will not dare to act, because he is playing “crazy”, a bit like Kim Jong-un plays “crazy” in North Korea: Donald Trump relies on this idea of uncertainty, which can be dissuasive for a regime like Beijing, which is very worried about the possibilities of reaction from the United States.
