Valérie Pécresse, who has just been appointed candidate for the Les Républicains party, climbs to 20% of the voting intentions in the first round of the presidential election and is given the winner against Emmanuel Macron in the second round, according to a poll published on Tuesday.
In this survey, carried out for BFMTV /The Express after her appointment on Saturday and the electoral assemblies of Eric Zemmour and Jean-Luc Mélenchon (La France insoumise party) on Sunday, Valérie Pécresse takes full advantage of the “primary” effect by gaining 11 points compared to the previous study of this institute carried out on 23 and 24 November.
Macron given loser by four points
Emmanuel Macron is credited with 23% of voting intentions, down two points. In the event of a second round between these two candidates, the outgoing president is given defeated, at 48% against 52% for Ms. Pécresse.
PHOTO LUDOVIC MARIN, FRANCE-PRESS AGENCY
In the event of a second round between Valérie Pécresse and Emmanuel Macron in the April 2022 elections, the outgoing president is given 48% defeat against 52% for Ms. Pécresse. We see it above during a tour in the city of Vierzon, in central France, on Tuesday, December 7, 2021.
In the first round, these two candidates are well ahead of the National Rally candidate Marine Le Pen at 15% (-5) and Éric Zemmour at 14% (+1).
The main left-wing candidates are all down by one point and below 10%: Jean-Luc Mélenchon is given at 8%, the ecologist Yannick Jadot at 7, the socialist Anne Hidalgo at 3.
Follow Arnaud Montebourg (2%, =), Nicolas Dupont-Aignan (2%, -1), Jean Lassale (2%, +1), Philippe Poutou (2%, =), Fabien Roussel (1%, -1) and Nathalie Arthaud (1%, =).
According to the Elabe opinion polling firm, Éric Zemmour “would manage to win votes among the voters of Marine Le Pen in 2017 (30%, +8), but he would lose some among the voters of François Fillon (17%, – 7) who would rather mobilize for Valérie Pécresse ”.
According to the survey, 57% (+1) of voters say they are “quite certain to vote” in the 2022 presidential election, but “44% of voters intending to vote are not sure. of their choice and could change their mind ”.
Voting intentions do not constitute a forecast of the outcome of the ballot. They give an indication of the balance of power and dynamics on the day of the survey.
Poll conducted by Elabe on the internet on December 6 and 7, 2021, with a sample of 1,474 people representative of residents of mainland France aged 18 and over, including 1,354 registered on the electoral roll, according to the quota method.
Margin of error between 1.2 and 3.1 percentage points.