“The polls were wrong in the first round
on Bolsonaro’s score“, recalls Christophe Ventura, director of research at IRIS, specialist in Brazil and author of “Geopolitics of Latin America”, this Sunday morning on Franceinfo. The far-right candidate had won 43% of the vote against 48 % for his left-wing rival.
“We are really in a white-hot country”
“You have to be extremely carefulassures the researcher. The hypothesis of a score that does not correspond to the polls is a possibility that must be kept in mind. The population samples that were used to make the second round polls are the same as in the first round. In the latest survey by the benchmark institute Datafolha, published on Thursday, Lula collects 53% of the voting intentions expressed, against 47% for Bolsonaro.
“And the more we will go towards a scenario where the results would be very close between the two candidates – with Bolsonaro second – the more we will go towards a scenario of possible contestation of the results by the lattercontinues Christophe Ventura. This would open up a situation that we cannot anticipate but in which the most radicalized fringes of “Bolsonarism” could very well take to the streets, carry out punching actions that could multiply acts of political violence.“
A violence that found itself in the last televised debate between the two candidates
.