The Liberal Party is also playing its survival this evening, at least that of its identity. Bad news for him, the participation rate in his castles is at half mast.
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• Read also: A participation rate of 44.63% at 5:30 p.m.
And even really at half mast. At 5:30 p.m., Elections Quebec announced a turnout in D’Arcy-McGee of 24.57%.
Similar rates in West Island ridings appear to be the norm, according to the latest figures from the independent body responsible for the smooth running of the elections.
38.5% in Marquette, 35.42% in Marguerite-Bourgeoys, 29.61% in Nelligan, 33.70% in Robert-Baldwin, 31.57% in Saint-Laurent… the percentages are low in the West Island.
Turnout fluctuates between 30 and 40 percent in the ridings on the island of Laval, and around 40 in the corner of Gatineau.
Why are voting intentions important for liberal perspectives? It is that the motivation to vote of its electorate conditions its survival in its strongholds, while various polling firms indicate a sharp increase in opposing candidates in its constituencies.
As our pollster Jean-Marc Léger reminds us in the analysis of one of our latest surveys, low participation and declining motivation in the electorate of his strongholds put him in the column in danger.
Several analysts, like Bryan Breguet, share this point of view. In a recent Twitter tweet, the latter foresees a bad evening for the PLQ.
He expects several color changes. Less red on the map, therefore.
The motivation to vote of the Liberal electorate, but especially in fact of the Anglophone and allophone electorate, will thus be the most important point to analyze of the evening when starting the campaign report.
