the threat of dissolution of the Assembly around the pension reform, a dangerous bet for the executive?

Politics is a matter of balance of power. This is illustrated every day a little more on the pension reform desired by Emmanuel Macron. Wednesday, September 28, during a dinner, the president warned the majority: in the event of a motion of censure, he will dissolve the National Assembly. The objective is to put pressure on the Republicans, supposed to support the postponement of the legal age. “It’s not very glorious for him to start with threats.”believes Olivier Marleixchairman of the group LR in the National Assembly. MPs LR could-they agree on a joint motion of censure with the NUPES and the National Rally, to reach 289 deputies? Such a political hitch seems unlikely.

For the NUPESwe pretend to see an opportunity in the threat. “We always aspire to govern. (…) To each of the texts that is proposed, we do not only oppose, we propose“, comments Mathilde panotpresident of the group BIA at The national assembly. Dissolution remains a double-edged sword, the effect of which is not always mastered. “The head of state would probably be the one with the most to lose. Quite simply because a legislative election in the midst of pension reform, with an opinion which we can see is fundamentally, rightly or wrongly, crystallized against this reform, it would most likely be a kind of referendum against the reform“, analyzes Benjamin Morel, lecturer in public law at the University of Paris 1.