Russia: Inflation drops below 15% in August, a first since February

Inflation, which soared in Russia to a 20-year high in April, fell back below 15% in August for the first time since the start of Russian military intervention in Ukraine and the rain of sanctions that followed her.

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In August, the rise in prices stood at 14.30% year on year, down from July (15.10%), according to figures published by the statistics agency Rosstat.

Food prices were once again the hardest hit by the acceleration in August, rising 15.8% year on year. They were driven in particular by basic products such as sugar (+45%), cereals (+30%), pasta (+25%), butter (+24%), milk (+21.5 %) or even bread (+18.1%).

Compared to the month of July, prices overall however fell slightly by 0.5%, and those of food by 1.4%.

This is the first time since the start of the Russian offensive in Ukraine in February that inflation has fallen below 15%.

Prices, already on the rise in Russia due to the post-pandemic recovery and soaring commodity prices, had indeed flared up following the imposition of sanctions on Russia for the military intervention in Ukraine.

In April, inflation had even broken a record since 2002, climbing to 17.8% over one year.

However, the rise in prices has already considerably undermined the purchasing power of Russians, who have little savings, and real wages have also fallen.

On Wednesday, Russian President Vladimir Putin estimated that the “peak” of economic difficulties caused by Western sanctions had “passed”, despite logistical “problems” in certain sectors, in particular automotive and technological.

Russia’s gross domestic product (GDP), for its part, contracted by 4.1% in the second quarter compared to the same period in 2021, after a rise of 3.5% between January and March, a indicated Friday Rosstat, which had published an almost identical first estimate in mid-August (-4%).

These are the first official consolidated figures on growth over a full quarter in Russia since the launch of the Russian offensive in Ukraine at the end of February.


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