Poll: Doug Ford well ahead of the electoral race in Ontario

With less than two weeks to go, Progressive Conservative leader Doug Ford maintains a considerable lead over his rivals.

• Read also: Election in Ontario: Doug Ford starts the race with a strong lead

A poll, conducted for Global News by Ipsos, revealed Monday that PPC was leading across many key demographic groups and regions in Ontario.

If the election were to be held tomorrow, 38% of decided voters would vote for Doug Ford and the Conservatives. In comparison, 28% of decided voters would choose Steven Del Duca’s Liberal Party and 23% said they would vote for Andrea Horwath’s NDP.

At the beginning of the month, another Ipso poll put forward similar figures, ie 39% for the PPC. Support for the Conservatives has dropped just one percentage point since the start of the campaign.

In less than a month, however, the gap has widened between the PLO and the NPD. As of May 4, the voting intentions were 26% for the Liberals and 25% for the New Democrats.

A satisfied population

Another encouraging sign for Doug Ford, more than half (52%) of people approve of the performance of the outgoing Prime Minister and his party and 41% of those polled believe that the government has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected, according to the survey.

According to Ipsos, the Progressive Conservative Party leads among rural and urban voters. A majority (53%) of rural voters intend to vote for the PPC.

Among voters aged 55 or older, 49% would vote for the Progressive Conservatives, compared to 28% for the Liberals and 16% for the NDP.
The party also leads for voters aged 35 to 54.

Among the youngest, it is the New Democrats who are popular. Among Ontarians aged 18 to 34, 38% support the party, compared to 28% for the Liberals and 17% for the Progressive Conservatives.

Ontarians are expected to go to the polls on June 2. Advance voting, already underway since May 19, will be held until May 28.


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