The Republicans resist and obtain between 63 and 67 seats, according to our Ipsos-Talan estimate.

The right-wing party and its allies are holding their own in relation to the 2022 legislative elections, where they obtained 62 of the 577 seats in the chamber.

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The right is holding out. The Republicans (LR) won 63 to 67 seats in the second round of legislative elections on Sunday, July 7, according to our estimate. Ipsos-Talan for France Télévisions, Radio France, France 24, RFI and LCP.

The right-wing party and its allies manage to hold on to the 2022 legislative elections, where they won 62 seats (out of 577). In the first round of the legislative elections on Sunday, June 30, they came in fourth place with 10% of the vote. During the campaign, the party had to deal with the rallying of its president, Eric Ciotti, to the National Rally (RN) of Jordan Bardella.

Going through a historic crisisThe Republicans had invested some 400 candidates in the first round, some of whom faced candidates from Ciott, allied with the extreme right. Their campaign was polluted by this psychodramawhile party cadres attempted, without successto exclude their leader.

On Sunday, June 30, only Philippe Juvin, in the 3rd constituency of Hauts-de-Seine, had been elected in the first round. In the second round, uFifty LR candidates and around forty various right-wing candidates were still in the running. Unlike the leaders of Renaissance and the New Popular Front (NFP), the party’s leaders had not given any voting instructions for the second round, showing themselves to be circumspect in the face of the Republican front.

The left-wing alliance created a surprise on Sunday evening and asserted itself as the leading political force in the country, obtaining 177 to 192 seats, according to our Ipsos-Talan estimate for France Télévisions, Radio France, France 24, RFI and LCP.

Several party leaders won in the second round. This is the case of Laurent Wauquiez, former head of LR and MP from 2012 to 2017. After coming out on top (36.8%) in the first round in the 1st constituency of Haute-Loire, he won the second round with 61.61% of the vote against RN Alexandre Heuzey. The president of the Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes region benefited from the withdrawal of the environmentalist candidate invested by the NFP, Celline Gacon, who had qualified after the first round.

Aurélien Pradié, outgoing MP, had slammed the door on the party a few days before the first round. He won the 1st constituency of Lot with 53.78% of the vote, against the NFP-LFI candidate Elsa Bougeard (23.26%) and the RN candidate Slavka Mihaylova (22.96%).

LR interim secretary general Annie Genevard was elected in the 5th constituency of Doubs. She won 62.69% of the vote against RN candidate Floriane Jeandenand (37.31%). The former head of the LR group in the Assembly, Olivier Marleix, was elected in the 2nd constituency of Eure-et-Loir with 57.26% of the vote. He faced RN candidate Olivier Dubois (42.74%) after the withdrawal of the New Popular Front-PS candidate, Nadia Faveris.


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